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Monday, March 26, 2012

Euro troubles not over.

There seems to be no end to the woes for the Eurozone economies. This is particularly true for the PIIGS countries (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Spain). Greece is still not out of the woods despite several rescue attempts made by European Central Bank. But what is more disturbing is the health of the Spanish economy. Earlier, most economists were predicting that Italy may be the next Greece. However, the recent rise in Spain's 10-year government bond yield suggests an altogether different story. It has surged to 5.4% at the end of February 2012, 0.4% higher than its Italian counterpart. The main reason for the same is widening fiscal deficit in the Spanish economy. First, Spain missed its 2011 budget deficit target. Then, it tried to revise its 2012 budget deficit estimate from 4.4% of GDP to 5.8%. This was enough for investors to start losing confidence in the Spanish economy.
Not only investors but other European economies, especially Italy are also concerned. Italy has been trying hard to come out of its bad economic phase. Any fallout from Spain would push back the whole region to the crisis situation. And it would hurt the corrective measures taken by the Italian government as well. But will Spain go Greece way?

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